Oil Price Shocks Dynamics, Stock Market Dynamics, and Exchange Rate Dynamics

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32662/golder.v0i0.2615

Keywords:

Oil prices, stock prices, exchange rate price, method VAR

Abstract

This research was conducted to determine the influence  of oil price, stocks and exchange rates in Indonesia. The data used in this research is secondary data in the form of time series data stretching from November 2014 to November 2022. The Quantitative research method, which is VAR (Vector Autoregressive) was used to test and analyze hypotheses with measurable data to obtain parameters from the variables’ influence. The study’s results found that oil prices significantly influenced Indonesia’s stock prices decline. Oil on the exchange rate was also significant, meaning last month's oil prices affected the exchange rate this month, and there was a depreciation. Still, the exchange rate was not significant for stock prices.

Author Biographies

Yeni Suseni, Universitas Andalas

Yeni Suseni 

Jurusan : Ekonomi Prodi Ekonomi

Univ : Andalas

Status :Mahasiswa

Bintang Rizky, Universitas Andalas

Bintang Rizky

Jabatan: Kaprodi Jurusan Ekonomi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Univ : Andalas

Putri Ayu, Universitas Andalas

Putri Ayu

Dosen : Jurusan Ekonomi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Univ : Andalas

Weriantoni Weriantoni, Universitas Andalas

Weriantoni

Dosen : Jurusan Ekonomi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Univ : Andalas

References

Jurnal :

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Buku :

Benassy Quere, A. , Mignon, V. & Penot, A. (2007). "China and the relationship between the oil price and the dollar. Energy Policy, 5795–5805.

Clive WJ, Granger; Bwo - nung , Huangb; Chin - Wei, Y. (2000). A bivatiate causality between stock prices and exchange rates : evidence from recent Asianflu. The Quartely Review Of Economics and Finance, 337–354.

Gujarati, D. N. (2003). Basic econometrics. 1002.

Pujawati, Putu Eka Wiksuana, I Gusti Bagus Artini, L. G. S. (2015). Pengaruh nilai tukar rupiah terhadap return saham dengan profitabilitas sebagai variabel intervening. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis.

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Published

09-03-2023

How to Cite

Suseni, Y., Rizky, B., Ayu, P., & Weriantoni, W. (2023). Oil Price Shocks Dynamics, Stock Market Dynamics, and Exchange Rate Dynamics. Gorontalo Development Review, 28–38. https://doi.org/10.32662/golder.v0i0.2615

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